Match preview: Sunderland v Everton (Mon)

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Sunderland's Jermain Defoe

    TEAM NEWS

    New Sunderland signings Mika Domingues and Jason Denayer could be involved against Everton on Monday.

    Didier Ndong and Victor Anichebe won’t feature but Jan Kirchhoff, Jordan Pickford and John O’Shea are all fit.

    Everton forward Enner Valencia could make his debut, while Seamus Coleman is available after an ankle injury.

    Darron Gibson and Tom Cleverley are also expected to be fit but James McCarthy is a definite absentee after undergoing groin surgery.

    MOTD COMMENTATOR’S NOTES

    Ian Dennis: “I have no doubt that, in time, David Moyes will break the cycle of despondency on Wearside but, for now, the Sunderland supporters continue to endure a familiar feeling of frustration.

    “The month of August could feel like a bleak midwinter when you’ve endured 17 winless matches but September is hardly a bundle of joy either…they are without a win since 2012.

    “I’ve seen Everton under Ronald Koeman and I believe they will soon be challenging where they were under Moyes on a consistent basis.

    “One thing is for sure – there will not be a repeat of the tame Everton surrender in May that secured Sunderland’s Premier League survival.”

    Twitter: @Iandennisbbc

    WHAT THE MANAGERS SAY

    Sunderland manager David Moyes: “I see something similar between the clubs, but I don’t want to be banging the drum every day saying ‘Everton this, Everton that’.

    “I’m only using it as an example to say if we can follow that route, we will not be far away. That will come from getting the recruitment right, and getting an understanding of the players we need to bring to the club.

    “I’m hoping we can get that over the coming windows.”

    Everton manager Ronald Koeman: “Overall (the transfer window was) positive, because we signed some good players. Of course, we had a disappointment on the last day, but that happens in football, because you don’t get always what you like to have.

    “But still, without that player (Moussa Sissoko), the picture is very good. I am happy with the squad and the signings.”

    LAWRO’S PREDICTION

    Everton have started very brightly and I think everyone likes the look of them under Ronald Koeman so far.

    Sunderland made a few signings before the window closed, and they should be solid enough – but I am still not sure about where their creativity will come from in midfield.

    Prediction: 1-1

    Lawro’s full predictions v Hollywood actor Dave Bautista

    • Think you can do better than Lawro? Predict the score for this match and the rest of this round’s Premier League fixtures in our Predictor game.
    Everton's Arouna Kone

    MATCH FACTS

    Head-to-head

    • Sunderland have won four of the last seven Premier League meetings (D1, L2).
    • A 3-0 win in the corresponding fixture on 11 May secured Sunderland’s Premier League safety.
    • Sunderland have lost just one of their last seven home league games against Everton (W2, D4).
    • This fixture produced 11 goals in the two league games last season; only Newcastle-Norwich (13) featured more.

    Sunderland

    • Sunderland could begin a season with four winless games for the sixth consecutive year.
    • Their last Premier League win in August or September came in September 2012 – they have since drawn nine and lost 13 in those months.
    • Jermain Defoe has scored five Premier League goals against Everton but all five have come at Goodison Park.

    Everton

    • Everton have won back-to-back Premier League matches for the first time since February.
    • Ronald Koeman could become the first Everton manager since Thomas McIntosh in 1919 to win his first two competitive away games.
    • Romelu Lukaku has failed to score or set up a goal in his last 11 Premier League games.
    SAM’s verdict
    Most probable score: 1-1Probability of draw: 27.9%
    Probability of home win: 40.8%Probability of away win: 31.4%

    SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by @ProfIanMcHale at the University of Salford that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.

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