Newcastle United v Swansea City

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Swansea have won on their last three visits to St James’ Park.

TEAM NEWS

Newcastle will be without Daryl Janmaat who suffered a groin injury against Southampton and also broke two fingers after reportedly punching a wall.

Fabricio Coloccini and Steven Taylor are also out, but midfielder Jack Colback returns from suspension.

Swansea midfielder Leon Britton has recovered from the back and foot injuries which ruled him out last week.

Head coach Francesco Guidolin has a full-strength squad and could name the same team which beat Chelsea.

MOTD COMMENTATOR’S NOTES

Guy Mowbray: “When do ‘must win’ games become ‘MUST WIN’ games? It’s surely now for Newcastle. Sorry, NOW.

“We’ll know in our gut if they have any chance of staying up after this, the first of four home games remaining.

“If they can’t raise a response to last week’s abject display at Southampton in front of their own crowd against a Swansea side in ‘virtual safety’, then they’re gone – never mind the Norwich-Sunderland score.

“Swansea historically do well on Tyneside – winning their last three and unbeaten in the Premier League – and with Francesco Guidolin keen to bag a new contract, he’ll demand his team keep pushing up the table to the end.

“When he got the job, Swansea were below Newcastle. Fact.”

Twitter: @Guymowbray

WHAT THE MANAGERS SAY

Newcastle manager Rafael Benitez: “What I can see is a group of players training really well, trying to do what we want to do and I don’t see any fear.”

“I know that they are really upset and disappointed because of the last result against Southampton and the way we played in the first half, so hopefully they will show the fans what the fans are expecting from them – fight until the end, give everything – and that has to be the key for us for the next games.”

Swansea head coach Francesco Guidolin: “The priority was the table and I know we played well sometimes and sometimes not well, but we still had results.

“The perfect situation is to play well and win but you cannot do it every time.

“In the future, for these five games at least, I hope to see my team play well. We must still be focused, but we can also play with spirit and I think it’s possible.”

LAWRO’S PREDICTION

It is hard to predict what we will see from Swansea but I am going for a Newcastle win. While they can still stay up, every single game will be their biggest of the season.

Prediction: 2-1

Lawro’s full predictions v actor Idris Elba

  • Think you can do better than Lawro? Predict the score for this match and the rest of this round’s Premier League fixtures in our Predictor game.

MATCH FACTS

Head-to-head

  • Swansea are unbeaten in their four Premier League visits to St James’ Park, winning the last three in a row.
  • The Swans have won six of their last seven league meetings with Newcastle, drawing the other.

Newcastle United

  • Newcastle have taken just four points from the last 30 available.
  • Their current points tally of 25 point from 32 games is their worst at this stage of a Premier League season, surpassing their previous lowest in 2008-09 (30 points) when they were relegated.
  • However, they have only lost one of their last five home matches (W2, D2).
  • They have conceded three or more goals in 10 Premier League games this season – a joint-league high with Aston Villa – and kept just one clean sheet in their last 17 league games.
  • The Magpies haven’t won a match in April in any of the last three seasons – losing their last 11 in a row.

Swansea City

  • Swansea have won four of their last six league matches (D1, L1).
  • However, they have only won one of their last five away games in the division (D2, L2).
  • They have kept one clean sheet in their 16 away league games this season.
  • The Swans were one point above the relegation zone when Francesco Guidolin took charge of his first match on 24 January; they are now 13 points clear.
  • Only Harry Kane (11) and Sergio Aguero (10) have scored more Premier League goals in 2016 than Gylfi Sigurdsson’s nine.
SAM’s verdict
Most probable score: 1-1Probability of draw: 29%
Probability of home win: 32%Probability of away win: 39%

SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by Professor Ian McHale at the University of Salford that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.

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